A New Report Suggests the Increase in the Number of People in ICUs in Italy Has Peaked
A new COVID-19 report from the European Society of Anaesthesiology (ESA) suggests that the increase in the number of people in Italy who are in the ICU is likely to have peaked.
However, the number of people dying will likely continue to increase at the maximum rate for days to come. Significant deaths in hospitals will likely go on in Italy until at least the middle of April, with the possibility of going through the beginning of June, according to the modeling techniques used in the report.
To get this data, Davide Manca, a professor at Politecnico di Milano in Milan, put the report together using two modeling techniques: the logistic model, which is more optimistic, and the Gompertz model, which is more pessimistic.